Research library

Evidence · Reanalysis · Reconstruction

Scientific source lineage

This page keeps three different kinds of evidence visibly separate: what observers recorded in 1926, what later official reanalysis concluded, and what modern modeling can reconstruct. The distinction matters because a modeled wind field can be scientifically useful without being a direct measurement.

Tier 01

Contemporary observations

Weather Bureau records, Monthly Weather Review reports, ship and land observations, pressure readings, wind reports and storm-surge evidence created during or immediately after the hurricane.

Tier 02

Official reanalysis

HURDAT reanalysis, NOAA/HRD evidence ledgers and modern landfall parameters that reassess the historical record using the best available observations and methods.

Tier 03

Modeled reconstruction

Modern wind-swath and land-decay products that use the historical/reanalyzed storm parameters plus estimated structural inputs to visualize a plausible wind field.

Modern reconstruction · Brian McNoldy / University of Miami

Reconstructing the 1926 wind field

Brian McNoldy’s 1926 products translate the reanalyzed storm into a visual estimate of how the surface wind field may have looked. They are a reconstruction, not a replacement for HURDAT2 or the contemporary observations.

Modeled reconstruction · 90-frame sequence

Miami-Dade landfall wind field

The animation is centered on the southeast Florida landfall and includes modeled wind decay over land using an approximation of 1926 land use.

Download the compact source animation

1926 estimated lifetime maximum surface wind swath by Brian McNoldy
Modeled wind swath

Lifetime maximum wind swath

A storm-lifetime estimate of the maximum modeled surface wind experienced along the track.

Florida detail estimated surface wind swath by Brian McNoldy
Florida detail

Southeast Florida and Gulf crossing

A closer view of the modeled swath over Florida, including the Miami landfall and passage into the Gulf.

Comparison of estimated surface wind swaths for Miami 1926, King 1950 and Andrew 1992
Comparative structure

1926 / King / Andrew

McNoldy’s comparison shows why peak wind alone does not describe a hurricane’s footprint. The 1926 storm had a much broader modeled core and far greater integrated kinetic energy than either King or Andrew, even though Andrew had the highest peak wind.

Great Miami Hurricane 1926 track map by Brian McNoldy
Creator overview

Track and intensity

McNoldy’s overview map provides context for the modeled products. The interactive Storm Atlas plots NOAA’s HURDAT2 positions and links each fix to its source data.

Why storm size matters

Wind speed versus wind-field energy

In McNoldy’s creator-supplied comparison, the 1926 hurricane is modeled with about 145 mph peak wind, an RMW near 23 miles, and 170 TJ of integrated kinetic energy (IKE). King is about 130 mph, RMW 6 miles, and 30 TJ; Andrew is about 165 mph, RMW 12 miles, and 43 TJ.

StormPeak windRMWIKE
Miami 1926~145 mph~23 mi170 TJ
King 1950~130 mph~6 mi30 TJ
Andrew 1992~165 mph~12 mi43 TJ

That makes the modeled 1926 IKE roughly 5.7 times King’s and about 4.0 times Andrew’s. Andrew was more intense at the center, but the 1926 hurricane’s much larger wind field carried substantially more total wind energy across South Florida.

What does 170 TJ actually mean?

IKE measures the energy in the broader wind field — not just the eyewall.

Integrated kinetic energy (IKE) adds up the kinetic energy contained in the hurricane’s damaging near-surface wind field. It depends on both how fast the wind is blowing and how much area those winds cover. That is why storm size matters so much.

It is not simply the energy inside the radius of maximum wind. The RMW helps define the storm’s inner structure, but the IKE calculation uses the broader modeled or analyzed surface wind field — including the extent of tropical-storm-force, hurricane-force and stronger winds — and sums the kinetic-energy contribution across that circulation.

One terajoule (TJ) is one trillion joules. The number is not meant to be intuitive by itself; its value here is comparative. McNoldy’s reconstruction gives Miami 1926 about 170 TJ, versus 43 TJ for Andrew and 30 TJ for King at their southeast Florida landfalls. In other words, Andrew had the higher peak wind, but the 1926 hurricane placed very strong winds over a much larger area.

How is IKE calculated?

The underlying physics is the kinetic-energy relationship ½ρU², where ρ is air density and U is wind speed. For hurricane IKE, that energy density is integrated across the analyzed near-surface storm wind field. Because wind speed is squared, stronger winds contribute disproportionately; because the calculation is integrated over the wind field, a large storm can accumulate far more total energy than a compact storm with a higher maximum wind.

Powell & Reinhold IKE methodology ↗ NOAA IKE overview ↗

Brian McNoldy’s original graphic retains its creator units (kt and nmi). The museum text converts those values to mph and statute miles to match the site-wide display standard. IKE is shown in terajoules as supplied by the creator.

Credit & use

Graphics and animation reproduced with permission of Brian McNoldy.

Original analysis and methodology ↗

Research trail

Source chain

The records below show the observational, reanalysis and reconstruction sources used to keep the technical interpretation traceable.